Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 4.307748 4.783283 5.291801 5.876477 6.530712 7.240851 8.070912
2026-02-01 3.467200 4.110619 4.847912 5.757170 6.851018 8.127845 9.736107
2026-02-08 2.900527 3.624915 4.502659 5.648754 7.112038 8.926082 11.358362
2026-02-15 2.517999 3.288365 4.266498 5.606706 7.406482 9.755508 13.079380
2026-02-22 2.290082 3.107563 4.188798 5.734372 7.904764 10.870218 15.273788
2026-03-01 2.056972 2.885758 4.021658 5.706753 8.167993 11.669909 17.098471
2026-03-08 1.823137 2.633714 3.780052 5.537444 8.195685 12.117393 18.436141
2026-03-15 1.660509 2.464512 3.635030 5.485127 8.376456 12.789272 20.162742
2026-03-22 1.568389 2.388597 3.616285 5.614450 8.836957 13.919356 22.717375
2026-03-29 1.488035 2.321545 3.601991 5.744275 9.303354 15.093992 25.461433
2026-04-05 1.393102 2.222149 3.526580 5.765302 9.588436 15.991448 27.821969
2026-04-12 1.291292 2.102362 3.407075 5.699874 9.717084 16.629706 29.784858
2026-04-19 1.191430 1.979628 3.275784 5.607950 9.800412 17.213388 31.747471
2026-04-26 1.100686 1.864971 3.148747 5.511928 9.867194 17.774283 33.734778
2026-05-03 1.019039 1.759189 3.027919 5.415087 9.921213 18.313654 35.738343
2026-05-10 0.954892 1.678762 2.944429 5.377453 10.079499 19.059865 38.232680
2026-05-17 0.920615 1.648772 2.947901 5.500560 10.554191 20.458735 42.222000
2026-05-24 0.868054 1.581092 2.876892 5.474533 10.732197 21.284527 45.095531
2026-05-31 0.802080 1.483412 2.742431 5.312716 10.620875 21.508472 46.681795
2026-06-07 0.756116 1.420105 2.667926 5.262720 10.732140 22.201095 49.386061
2026-06-14 0.734582 1.402138 2.679074 5.386466 11.217753 23.735005 54.199141
2026-06-21 0.714304 1.385015 2.690284 5.510670 11.714968 25.342137 59.381523
2026-06-28 0.683970 1.345584 2.653842 5.530787 11.984985 26.467645 63.534958